Week 11 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Robert Woods from EV Insight

Robert WoodsReceiving Yards

Right now, Robert Woods’s receiving yards prop is set at 31.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 31.5 (-110) after it opened @ 33.5 (-110).

Pros

The Titans are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
Robert Woods has been a less important option in his team’s offense this season, staying on the field for just 73.3% of snaps vs 92.5% last season.
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has given up the 8th-highest Completion% in the league (69.2%) vs. wideouts this year (69.2%).
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has not been good when opposing WRs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 5.58 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-most in football.
The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the 2nd-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 52.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 122.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in football this year, totaling a measly 52.3 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in the league.
Robert Woods has accumulated quite a few less receiving yards per game (32.0) this year than he did last year (67.0).

Projection

THE BLITZ
40
Receiving Yards