Week 11 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Aaron Jones from EV Insight

Aaron JonesRushing Yards

Right now, Aaron Jones’s rushing yards prop is set at 56.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 56.5 (-110) after it opened @ 58.5 (-115).

Pros

The Packers are a 3-point favorite in this week’s game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Aaron Jones to earn 14.0 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among RBs.
Aaron Jones has received 52.7% of his team’s rush attempts this year, putting him in the 85th percentile among RBs.
The Green Bay Packers offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in run blocking.
Aaron Jones has run for many more yards per game (69.0) this year than he did last year (50.0).

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have rushed for the 2nd-least yards in the league (just 82 per game) vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year.
The Tennessee Titans defensive ends project as the 2nd-best collection of DEs in football this year in regard to stopping the run.
The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

Projection

THE BLITZ
63
Rushing Yards