Week 10 Player Props: Passing Yards for John Wolford from EV Insight

John WolfordPassing Yards

Right now, John Wolford’s passing yards prop is set at 196.5 yards (+104/-142).

The public has bet the OVER up to 196.5 (+104) after it opened @ 195.5 (+100).

Pros

The Los Angeles Rams will be starting backup QB John Wolford in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.0% pass rate.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 6th-most in football.
Opposing offenses have passed for the 8th-most yards in the league (261.0 per game) against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year.

Cons

The Rams are a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the 9th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-quickest in football since the start of last season.
The Los Angeles Rams have used play action on a lowly 21.0% of their passing plays since the start of last season (5th-least in football), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.

Projection

THE BLITZ
240
Passing Yards