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Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tyler Higbee from EV Insight

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Tyler Higbee

Tyler HigbeeReceiving Yards

Player Props – Week 10

Rams vs. Cardinals

Right now, Tyler Higbee’s receiving yards prop is set at 24.5 yards (-114/-114).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 24.5 (-114) after it opened @ 24.5 (-110).

Pros

  • The Los Angeles Rams will be starting backup QB John Wolford in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.0% pass rate.
  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 6th-most in football.
  • Tyler Higbee has accrued quite a few more receiving yards per game (39.0) this year than he did last year (32.0).
Cons

  • The Rams are a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the 9th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Tyler Higbee has run fewer routes this year (73.7% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (84.5%).
  • Tyler Higbee has totaled quite a few less air yards this year (21.0 per game) than he did last year (30.0 per game).
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Projection
THE BLITZ
35
Receiving Yards

Previous NBA Best Bets of the Day (11/13) Next Week 10 Player Props: Passing Yards for John Wolford from EV Insight
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