Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Chris Olave from EV Insight

Chris OlaveReceiving Yards

Right now, Chris Olave’s receiving yards prop is set at 64.5 yards (+105/-140).

The public has bet the OVER up to 64.5 (+105) after it opened @ 63.5 (-115).

Pros

The New Orleans Saints will be forced to start backup quarterback Andy Dalton in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
Opposing QBs have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Chris Olave to earn 7.6 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 81st percentile among wide receivers.
Chris Olave has put up a whopping 133.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile among WRs.
Chris Olave’s 69.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the NFL: 94th percentile for wide receivers.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 6th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
Chris Olave has been among the most unreliable receivers in the league, completing just 60.3% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 20th percentile among wide receivers
Chris Olave has been among the weakest wideouts in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 1st percentile.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has surrendered the 9th-lowest Completion% in the league (63.6%) versus wide receivers this year (63.6%).

Projection

THE BLITZ
54
Receiving Yards