Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Gerald Everett from EV Insight

Gerald EverettReceiving Yards

Right now, Gerald Everett’s receiving yards prop is set at 40.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 40.5 (-110) after it opened @ 41.5 (-115).

Pros

The Chargers are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 67.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 64.0 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Gerald Everett to total 6.9 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among tight ends.
Gerald Everett has accumulated quite a few more air yards this year (47.0 per game) than he did last year (22.0 per game).

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to call the 2nd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 10th-least in football.
Gerald Everett’s sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 82.2% to 63.3%.
Gerald Everett’s pass-game effectiveness has tailed off this year, compiling a mere 6.71 yards-per-target vs a 7.96 rate last year.
The San Francisco 49ers defense has yielded the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 32.0) versus TEs this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
42
Receiving Yards