Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Saquon BarkleyRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Giants vs. Texans
Right now, Saquon Barkley’s rushing yards prop is set at 93.5 yards (-130/+100).
The public has bet the OVER up to 93.5 (-130) after it opened @ 93.5 (-125).
Pros
- The Giants are a 5.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 3rd-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 50.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.20 seconds per snap.
- Saquon Barkley has rushed for significantly more yards per game (93.0) this season than he did last season (41.0).
- Opposing teams have rushed for the most yards in the NFL (178 per game) vs. the Houston Texans defense this year.
Cons
- The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in football this year in run blocking.
- The New York Giants have incorporated motion in their offense on 26.6% of their play-calls since the start of last season (2nd-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.
Projection
THE BLITZ
97
Rushing Yards
97
Rushing Yards
