Week 10 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Saquon Barkley from EV Insight

Saquon BarkleyRushing Yards

Right now, Saquon Barkley’s rushing yards prop is set at 93.5 yards (-130/+100).

The public has bet the OVER up to 93.5 (-130) after it opened @ 93.5 (-125).

Pros

The Giants are a 5.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 3rd-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 50.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.20 seconds per snap.
Saquon Barkley has rushed for significantly more yards per game (93.0) this season than he did last season (41.0).
Opposing teams have rushed for the most yards in the NFL (178 per game) vs. the Houston Texans defense this year.

Cons

The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in football this year in run blocking.
The New York Giants have incorporated motion in their offense on 26.6% of their play-calls since the start of last season (2nd-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

Projection

THE BLITZ
97
Rushing Yards