Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
DK MetcalfReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
Right now, DK Metcalf’s receiving yards prop is set at 63.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 63.5 (-110) after it opened @ 63.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
- THE BLITZ projects DK Metcalf to notch 9.4 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers.
- DK Metcalf has posted many more air yards this season (110.0 per game) than he did last season (96.0 per game).
Cons
- The Seattle Seahawks have called the 4th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 53.9 plays per game.
- DK Metcalf has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL, catching a measly 59.6% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 17th percentile among WRs
- DK Metcalf has been among the least effective pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging a lowly 7.15 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 17th percentile among wide receivers
- The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has shown strong efficiency against wide receivers this year, yielding 8.13 yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-least in the league.
- The Arizona Cardinals defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
80
Receiving Yards
80
Receiving Yards
