Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Kenneth Walker IIIRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
Right now, Kenneth Walker III’s rushing yards prop is set at 74.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 74.5 (-110) after it opened @ 71.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Arizona Cardinals defense has had the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, giving up 5.05 yards-per-carry.
- The Seattle Seahawks have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
- The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.
Cons
- The Seattle Seahawks have called the 4th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 53.9 plays per game.
- The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- The Seattle Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year at opening holes for rushers.
- The Arizona Cardinals safeties profile as the best unit in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.
- The Seattle Seahawks have gone for it on 4th down a measly 8.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in the league), which generally means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
91
Rushing Yards
91
Rushing Yards
