Week 8 Player Props: Passing Yards for Matthew Stafford from EV Insight

Matthew StaffordPassing Yards

Right now, Matthew Stafford’s passing yards prop is set at 260.5 yards (-114/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 260.5 (-115) after it opened @ 261.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 66.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Matthew Stafford has attempted 38.9 passes per game this year, grading out in the 75th percentile among quarterbacks.
Matthew Stafford has passed for quite a few more yards per game (264.0) this year than he did last year (219.0).
Matthew Stafford’s throwing accuracy has improved this season, with his Completion% jumping from 65.4% to 69.5%.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the least total plays on the slate this week with 60.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.7 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 8th-least in football.
The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 10th-least yards in the NFL (just 218.0 per game) vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year.
The San Francisco 49ers defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 5.63 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-least in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
295
Passing Yards