Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Tony PollardRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Cowboys vs. Bears
Right now, Tony Pollard’s rushing yards prop is set at 76.5 yards (-114/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 76.5 (-115) after it opened @ 80.5 (-114).
Pros
- The Cowboys are an enormous 9.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 8th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 45.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys offense to be the 2nd-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.06 seconds per play.
- Tony Pollard’s rushing effectiveness (5.10 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (76th percentile among RBs).
- Opposing offenses have run for the 4th-most yards in football (153 per game) versus the Chicago Bears defense this year.
Cons
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Projection
THE BLITZ
99
Rushing Yards
99
Rushing Yards
