Week 8 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Dameon Pierce from EV Insight

Dameon PierceRushing Yards

Right now, Dameon Pierce’s rushing yards prop is set at 70.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 70.5 (-115) after it opened @ 69.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects Dameon Pierce to accumulate 18.6 carries in this contest, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among running backs.
Dameon Pierce has received 80.3% of his team’s carries this year, placing him in the 97th percentile among running backs.
Dameon Pierce has generated 85.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest figures in the league among running backs (95th percentile).
Dameon Pierce has been among the leading RBs in the league at generating extra running yardage, averaging a stellar 3.96 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 86th percentile.
The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box against opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Cons

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.5% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans to be the 5th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 36.1% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Texans to call the 2nd-least total plays among all teams this week with 61.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Houston Texans have called the 8th-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 56.7 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 4th-least yards in football (just 94 per game) against the Tennessee Titans defense this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
86
Rushing Yards