Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Jakobi Meyers from EV Insight

Jakobi MeyersReceiving Yards

Right now, Jakobi Meyers’s receiving yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-110/-120).

The public has bet the OVER up to 50.5 (-110) after it opened @ 48.5 (-115).

Pros

The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Jakobi Meyers has put up far more air yards this year (76.0 per game) than he did last year (71.0 per game).
Jakobi Meyers’s 57.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the league leaders: 87th percentile for wideouts.
The New England Patriots offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
Jakobi Meyers has posted a lot more receiving yards per game (71.0) this season than he did last season (54.0).

Cons

The Patriots are a 3-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 6th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 10th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in football this year, totaling a measly 53.6 plays per game.
The New York Jets defense has conceded the 10th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 142.0) vs. wide receivers this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
61
Receiving Yards