Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Rashod BatemanReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Ravens vs. Browns
Right now, Rashod Bateman’s receiving yards prop is set at 37.5 yards (+100/-137).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 37.5 (-137) after it opened @ 37.5 (-115).
Pros
- Rashod Bateman has totaled far more air yards this year (79.0 per game) than he did last year (52.0 per game).
- Rashod Bateman’s 50.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 36.2.
- The Baltimore Ravens offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
- Rashod Bateman’s skills in picking up extra yardage have improved this season, compiling 12.64 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 3.11 mark last season.
- The Cleveland Browns defense has allowed the 6th-most receiving yards per game in football (182.0) vs. wide receivers this year.
Cons
- The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 6th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 56.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 122.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Baltimore Ravens have called the 4th-least plays in football this year, totaling a measly 53.3 plays per game.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 9th-least in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
43
Receiving Yards
43
Receiving Yards
