Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
JuJu Smith-SchusterReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 7
49ers vs. Chiefs
Right now, JuJu Smith-Schuster’s receiving yards prop is set at 46.5 yards (-113/-121).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 46.5 (-121) after it opened @ 48.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 64.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run on the slate this week at 129.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- JuJu Smith-Schuster has gone out for fewer passes this season (82.0% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (69.7%).
- THE BLITZ projects JuJu Smith-Schuster to accrue 6.8 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking in the 76th percentile among WRs.
- JuJu Smith-Schuster has posted significantly more receiving yards per game (64.0) this year than he did last year (23.0).
Cons
- The forecast calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
- Opposing teams have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
- The San Francisco 49ers defense has conceded the 8th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 136.0) vs. WRs this year.
- The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing WRs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.51 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-least in the NFL.
- The San Francisco 49ers safeties project as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.
Projection
THE BLITZ
52
Receiving Yards
52
Receiving Yards
