Week 7 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Austin Ekeler from EV Insight

Austin EkelerRushing Yards

Right now, Austin Ekeler’s rushing yards prop is set at 56.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 56.5 (-110) after it opened @ 59.5 (-115).

Pros

The Chargers are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 64.5 plays per game.
Austin Ekeler has picked up 58.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the largest marks in the league among RBs (77th percentile).
Opposing teams have rushed for the most yards in the NFL (175 per game) vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 36.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in football this year at blocking for rushers.
The Los Angeles Chargers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box versus opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Projection

THE BLITZ
59
Rushing Yards