Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Daniel JonesPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Giants vs. Ravens
Right now, Daniel Jones’s passing yards prop is set at 205.5 yards (+100/-130).
The public has bet the OVER up to 205.5 (+100) after it opened @ 202.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Giants are a 5.5-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards a passing game script.
- The New York Giants have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 61.2 plays per game.
- The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 42.6 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
- Daniel Jones has been among the best precision passers in the NFL this year with a stellar 67.3% Completion%, grading out in the 84th percentile.
Cons
- The Giants have been the 6th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.0% pass rate.
- THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to attempt 34.4 passes in this week’s contest, on average: the 5th-least of all quarterbacks.
- The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
- Daniel Jones has thrown for substantially fewer yards per game (175.0) this season than he did last season (218.0).
Projection
THE BLITZ
251
Passing Yards
251
Passing Yards
