NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Kyler MurrayPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Seahawks vs. Cardinals
Right now, Kyler Murray’s passing yards prop is set at 270.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 270.5 (-115) after it opened @ 261.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 3rd-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 26.67 seconds per snap.
- The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- Kyler Murray has attempted 45.9 throws per game this year, grading out in the 97th percentile among quarterbacks.
- Opposing teams have thrown for the 9th-most yards in the NFL (264.0 per game) versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.
- The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has displayed poor efficiency this year, allowing 9.50 yards-per-target: the most in the NFL.
Cons
- Opposing teams have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-least in football.
- Kyler Murray’s throwing precision has worsened this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 68.0% to 63.6%.
- Kyler Murray’s passing effectiveness has diminished this season, compiling a measly 5.99 yards-per-target compared to a 7.61 rate last season.
- The Arizona Cardinals O-line has allowed their QB just 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
- The Arizona Cardinals have faced a stacked the box on just 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
Projection
THE BLITZ
254
Passing Yards
254
Passing Yards
