WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Drake LondonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 5
Buccaneers vs. Falcons
Right now, Drake London’s receiving yards prop is set at 58.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 58.5 (-110) after it opened @ 58.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Falcons are a heavy 10-point underdog in this week’s contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing teams have averaged 41.2 pass attempts per game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
- Drake London has been on the field for 79.0% of his team’s snaps this year, placing him in the 76th percentile among WRs.
- THE BLITZ projects Drake London to garner 10.7 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 4th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 55.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Atlanta Falcons have run the 5th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 53.2 plays per game.
- Drake London has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL, catching a measly 56.6% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 25th percentile among wideouts
- Drake London has been among the weakest wide receivers in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 1st percentile.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has allowed the 10th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 139.0) versus wideouts this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
75
Receiving Yards
75
Receiving Yards
