NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Chris OlaveReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 4
Saints vs. Vikings
Right now, Chris Olave’s receiving yards prop is set at 59.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 59.5 (-110) after it opened @ 58.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Saints are a 4-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game against the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in football.
- THE BLITZ projects Chris Olave to notch 9.4 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among wideouts.
- Chris Olave has received a colossal 42.5% of his offense’s air yards this year: 98th percentile among wideouts.
Cons
- The New Orleans Saints have called the 7th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 57.6 plays per game.
- The New Orleans Saints have played in the 6th-most “low wind” (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which should result in lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing offense efficiency when facing windier conditions in this week’s contest.
- Chris Olave has been among the weakest WRs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 1st percentile.
- The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.
- The New Orleans Saints have elected to go for it on 4th down a lowly 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-least in football), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
70
Receiving Yards
70
Receiving Yards
