Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Kyler MurrayPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Cardinals vs. Rams
Right now, Kyler Murray’s passing yards prop is set at 249.5 yards (+100/-130).
The public has bet up the UNDER down to 249.5 (-130) after it opened @ 257.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely creating a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.25 seconds per snap.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the league.
Cons
- Kyler Murray’s throwing accuracy has diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.0% to 62.8%.
- Kyler Murray’s pass-game efficiency has declined this season, averaging a measly 5.89 yards-per-target vs a 7.61 rate last season.
- The Los Angeles Rams cornerbacks project as the 2nd-best group of CBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
- The Arizona Cardinals O-line has afforded their quarterback a mere 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
- The Los Angeles Rams pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
251
Passing Yards
251
Passing Yards
