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Week 3 Player Props: Passing Yards for Kyler Murray from EV Insight

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Kyler Murray

Kyler MurrayPassing Yards

Player Props – Week 3

Cardinals vs. Rams

Right now, Kyler Murray’s passing yards prop is set at 249.5 yards (+100/-130).
The public has bet up the UNDER down to 249.5 (-130) after it opened @ 257.5 (-115).

Pros

  • The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.25 seconds per snap.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the league.
Cons

  • Kyler Murray’s throwing accuracy has diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.0% to 62.8%.
  • Kyler Murray’s pass-game efficiency has declined this season, averaging a measly 5.89 yards-per-target vs a 7.61 rate last season.
  • The Los Angeles Rams cornerbacks project as the 2nd-best group of CBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Arizona Cardinals O-line has afforded their quarterback a mere 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • The Los Angeles Rams pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.

Projection
THE BLITZ
251
Passing Yards

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