Week 3 Player Props: Passing Yards for Kyler Murray from EV Insight

Kyler MurrayPassing Yards

Right now, Kyler Murray’s passing yards prop is set at 249.5 yards (+100/-130).

The public has bet up the UNDER down to 249.5 (-130) after it opened @ 257.5 (-115).

Pros

The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.25 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the league.

Cons

Kyler Murray’s throwing accuracy has diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.0% to 62.8%.
Kyler Murray’s pass-game efficiency has declined this season, averaging a measly 5.89 yards-per-target vs a 7.61 rate last season.
The Los Angeles Rams cornerbacks project as the 2nd-best group of CBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
The Arizona Cardinals O-line has afforded their quarterback a mere 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Los Angeles Rams pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
251
Passing Yards