Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Marquise BrownReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Cardinals vs. Rams
Right now, Marquise Brown’s receiving yards prop is set at 53.5 yards (-115/-105).
The public has bet up the UNDER down to 53.5 (-105) after it opened @ 55.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely creating a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.25 seconds per snap.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the league.
Cons
- Marquise Brown’s receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 65.8% to 62.8%.
- The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has shown good efficiency against WRs since the start of last season, surrendering 7.81 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-least in the NFL.
- The Los Angeles Rams cornerbacks project as the 2nd-best group of CBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
- The Arizona Cardinals O-line has afforded their quarterback a mere 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
- The Los Angeles Rams pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
63
Receiving Yards
63
Receiving Yards
