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Week 2 Player Props: Rushing Yards for D’Andre Swift from EV Insight

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D'Andre Swift

D’Andre SwiftRushing Yards

Player Props – Week 2

Lions vs. Commanders

Right now, D’Andre Swift’s rushing yards prop is set at 45.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet up the UNDER down to 45.5 (-110) after it opened @ 59.5 (-115).

Pros

  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 6th-most run-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 42.4% run rate.
  • The Detroit Lions offense has played at the 9th-quickest pace in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season, averaging 25.27 seconds per play.
  • D’Andre Swift has grinded out 50.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest figures in the NFL among RBs (82nd percentile).
  • The Detroit Lions have risked going for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the league), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.
Cons

  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects D’Andre Swift to be much less involved in his team’s rushing attack this week (30.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (50.8% in games he has played).
  • The Washington Commanders defensive ends profile as the 5th-best DE corps in the league since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

Projection
THE BLITZ
36
Rushing Yards

Previous Best MLB Bets Today – Free (Friday 9/16) Next Week 2 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Robert Woods from EV Insight