Week 2 Player Props: Passing Yards for Trey Lance from EV Insight

Trey LancePassing Yards

Right now, Trey Lance’s passing yards prop is set at 187.5 yards (-103/-133).

The public has bet up the UNDER down to 187.5 (-133) after it opened @ 197.5 (-115).

Pros

Opposing QBs have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in the league.
The San Francisco 49ers O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
Opposing QBs have passed for the 2nd-most yards in football (275.0 per game) against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 3rd-highest rate in the NFL versus the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season (73.8%).
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency since the start of last season, giving up 8.24 yards-per-target: the 5th-most in the league.

Cons

The 49ers are a big 8.5-point favorite in this week’s game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 44.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run on the slate this week at 120.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have called the 8th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 60.8 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Projection

THE BLITZ
159
Passing Yards