Week 2 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Sterling Shepard from EV Insight

Sterling ShepardReceiving Yards

Right now, Sterling Shepard’s receiving yards prop is set at 38.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet up the UNDER down to 38.5 (-110) after it opened @ 41.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Sterling Shepard to total 6.9 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile among wideouts.
Sterling Shepard has been a key part of his team’s passing attack, earning a Target Share of 22.5% since the start of last season, which places him in the 90th percentile among WRs.
Sterling Shepard has accrued a whopping 70.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 79th percentile among WRs.
Sterling Shepard has been among the top wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 54.0 yards per game while ranking in the 80th percentile.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 10th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 56.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the 8th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a measly 60.8 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in the NFL.
The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
The Carolina Panthers defense has surrendered the 4th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 127.0) to wideouts since the start of last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
54
Receiving Yards