Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Jakobi MeyersReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Steelers vs. Patriots
Right now, Jakobi Meyers’s receiving yards prop is set at 46.5 yards (-110/-125).
The public has bet up the OVER up to 46.5 (-110) after it opened @ 45.5 (-115).
Pros
- Jakobi Meyers has run a route on 91.8% of his team’s dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 90th percentile among wideouts.
- THE BLITZ projects Jakobi Meyers to notch 6.8 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 78th percentile among wideouts.
- Jakobi Meyers has notched a whopping 72.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 80th percentile among wide receivers.
- Jakobi Meyers has been among the best WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 54.0 yards per game while ranking in the 80th percentile.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties grade out as the 9th-worst group of safeties in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.
Cons
- The Patriots are a 3-point favorite in this week’s game, indicating a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 9th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 121.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The New England Patriots have run the 5th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a mere 60.3 plays per game.
- Jakobi Meyers has been among the bottom wideouts in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 2.76 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 8th percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
54
Receiving Yards
54
Receiving Yards
