Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Amari CooperReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Browns vs. Jets
Right now, Amari Cooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 44.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet up the OVER up to 44.5 (-110) after it opened @ 39.5 (-120).
Pros
- The Cleveland Browns will be rolling out backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
- The Cleveland Browns have played in the 2nd-most “bad weather” (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football since the start of last season, which should lead to increased pass volume, lower running volume, and improved pass game performance when facing better conditions this week.
- Amari Cooper has run a route on 85.7% of his offense’s passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 79th percentile among wideouts.
- THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to garner 6.3 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 75th percentile among wideouts.
- Amari Cooper has totaled a colossal 78.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 84th percentile among WRs.
Cons
- The Browns are a 6-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 47.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 122.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The New York Jets pass defense has excelled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.96 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 6th-least in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
49
Receiving Yards
49
Receiving Yards
