Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Ryan TannehillPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Titans vs. Giants
Right now, Ryan Tannehill’s passing yards prop is set at 217.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet up the OVER up to 217.5 (-110) after it opened @ 207.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Tennessee Titans have run the 5th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 65.7 plays per game.
- Ryan Tannehill has been among the most accurate quarterbacks in football since the start of last season with a terrific 67.3% Completion%, grading out in the 81st percentile.
- The New York Giants defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.61 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the slowest in the league since the start of last season.
- The Tennessee Titans have gone up against a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
- The Tennessee Titans have utilized play action on 30.3% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (7th-most in football), causing the defense to bite on the run and resulting in much higher passing production.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 4th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace out of all the games this week, averaging 27.34 seconds per play accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Ryan Tannehill to attempt 31.0 passes in this game, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.
- The Tennessee Titans O-line profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
- The New York Giants cornerbacks rank as the 5th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
227
Passing Yards
227
Passing Yards
