Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Daniel JonesPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Titans vs. Giants
Right now, Daniel Jones’s passing yards prop is set at 236.5 yards (-127/-108).
The public has bet up the OVER up to 236.5 (-127) after it opened @ 222.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Giants are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.
- Opposing offenses have passed for the 8th-most yards in the NFL (248.0 per game) against the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season.
- The Tennessee Titans defense has been vulnerable when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 5.36 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 8th-most in the league.
- The Tennessee Titans defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 4th-most sluggish in the league since the start of last season.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 4th-least total plays on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
- The Tennessee Titans safeties rank as the 2nd-best unit in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
- The New York Giants offensive line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
- The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box against opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in football. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
Projection
THE BLITZ
249
Passing Yards
249
Passing Yards
