NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Justin HerbertPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Chargers vs. Raiders
Right now, Justin Herbert’s passing yards prop is set at 283.5 yards (-125/-105).
The public has bet up the UNDER down to 283.5 (-105) after it opened @ 284.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 10th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- THE BLITZ projects Justin Herbert to attempt 39.8 passes in this week’s contest, on average: the 5th-most of all quarterbacks.
- The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers profile as the 10th-worst unit in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
Cons
- The Chargers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, indicating a rushing game script.
- Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 5th-least yards in football (just 204.0 per game) vs. the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season.
- The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has displayed strong efficiency since the start of last season, conceding 6.95 yards-per-target: the 2nd-least in football.
- The Las Vegas Raiders defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.58 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 6th-least in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
307
Passing Yards
307
Passing Yards
