NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
George KittleReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Bears vs. 49ers
Right now, George Kittle’s receiving yards prop is set at 47.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet up the OVER up to 47.5 (-115) after it opened @ 46.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects George Kittle to earn 5.6 targets in this week’s game, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among TEs.
- George Kittle has been an integral part of his team’s pass game, garnering a Target Share of 22.7% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 98th percentile among TEs.
- The San Francisco 49ers offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
- The Chicago Bears defensive ends project as the 6th-worst collection of DEs in the league since the start of last season in regard to rushing the passer.
- The Chicago Bears defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-slowest in football since the start of last season.
Cons
- The 49ers are a giant 7-point favorite in this week’s contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 2nd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 47.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 119.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers offense as the 9th-worst paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.76 seconds per play.
- The Chicago Bears defense has allowed the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in football (just 35.0) versus tight ends since the start of last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
43
Receiving Yards
43
Receiving Yards
