College Football Props of the Week: Week 4
Walter Waddell
D’Andre SwiftRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Eagles vs. Vikings
Right now, D’Andre Swift’s rushing yards prop is set at 35.5 yards (-118/-104).
The public has bet the OVER up to 35.5 (-118) after it opened @ 33.5 (-113).
Pros
- The Eagles are a big 7-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 135.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 9th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 59.5 plays per game.
- The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
- D’Andre Swift’s rushing efficiency (5.40 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football since the start of last season (92nd percentile among running backs).
Cons
- The Philadelphia Eagles will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.0% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
- The Eagles have been the 6th-least run-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 31.2% run rate.
- The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles grade out as the 6th-best unit in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.
Projection
THE BLITZ
39
Rushing Yards
39
Rushing Yards
