College Football Props of the Week: Week 4
Walter Waddell
At the beginning of each week, we highlight our favorite CFB bets so that you can get in early and lock in the best possible odds. This companion piece drops Friday, and I will talk about some advantageous parlays you can consider and the reasons why I favor them so much. These could be as simple as picking a side and the total of a single game or stringing together a couple of games into the same parlay. I’m also always digging into the prop market to find you any soft numbers that we can exploit.
I’ve identified two parlays I think are worth jumping on this week. Week 10 offers some really intriguing matchups, and I’m excited to share with you guys my favorite parlays.
Kendre Miller Rushing Yardage Prop
Richard Reese Rushing Yardage Prop
(Miller 99.5 Rushing Yards; Reese 98.5 Rushing Yards; DraftKings Sportsbook)
Kendre Miller has been one of the most efficient RBs in all of college football, and it really doesn’t matter how many carries he gets at this point because he continues to produce at a high level. He has rushed for 100-plus yards in five of his last six games despite only eclipsing 20 carries in two of those. He has a YPC of 6.4, which is due to his ability to chunk yardage on multiple plays per game. As a bonus, TCU is playing a Texas Tech rush defense that is giving up roughly 150 YPG on the ground.
Baylor has dealt with injuries all season long in their RB room and that has allowed freshman Richard Reese to emerge as one of the best backs in the Big 12. He has toted the rock at least 30 times in back-to-back games, and that spike in volume doesn’t appear to be leaving anytime soon. He has just under 800 rushing yards this season but a date with the Oklahoma Sooners could see him possibly reach 1,000. The Sooners actually looked much better defensively last week against the Cyclones but I’m not buying it just yet. We have targeted RBs against the Sooners all season long with incredible success, and I’m not prepared to stop just yet. There is a legitimate chance of Reese reaching 200 yards against this defense if he sees 30-plus carries once again.
Best Bet
Kendre Miller OVER 99.5 Rushing Yards (-115) and Richard Reese OVER 98.5 Rushing Yards (-115) — Combined +249
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Virginia Cavaliers Same-Game Parlay
(North Carolina -7, O/U 60.5, DraftKings Sportsbook)
This has been a nightmarish season for Virginia despite having almost all of the team’s relevant offensive weapons from a year ago. An offensive philosophy change has grinded the Cavs’ ability to score almost a halt and a matchup with the Tar Heels will likely expose that even further. Drake Maye has been way better than I ever could have imagined for North Carolina and his stats are nothing short of amazing. He has thrown for over 2,600 yards and 29 TDs to just 3 INTs while rushing for 439/3. There is no doubt in my mind about the Heels dropping 40+ on Virginia this weekend.
Defensively, the Heels have been a bit lackluster themselves which is why I think the over 60.5 total is firmly in play. They’re giving up over 31 PPG to their opponents and if Virginia can give us roughly 21-24 points, this becomes an easy winner.
Best Bet
SGP North Carolina -7 (-110) and OVER 60.5 Total Points (-110) — Combined +264
