Prime-Time First TD Bets — Sunday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Cade OttonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Buccaneers vs. Rams
Right now, Cade Otton’s receiving yards prop is set at 29.5 yards (+104/-142).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 29.5 (-142) after it opened @ 30.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 67.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 61.4 plays per game.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line ranks as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
- The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has not been good when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, giving up an average of 7.42 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-most in the NFL.
Cons
- The Buccaneers are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
- Opposing teams have averaged 29.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
- The Los Angeles Rams defense has conceded the 4th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 33.0) versus TEs this year.
- The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has allowed the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (58.6%) to tight ends this year (58.6%).
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has given their QB a measly 2.30 seconds before the pass (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
30
Receiving Yards
30
Receiving Yards
