PGA PrizePicks for the Open Championship

PrizePicks offers a different way to play fantasy sports than simply building a lineup of different golfers on a salary. There are different categories of props and matchups, which are not often offered anywhere else. I’m going to go through a few plays of mine for the Open Championship. 

PrizePicks has birdie matchups, fairways hit, greens in regulation, score and occasionally scoring on set holes on the course. These props are setup for single-round action allowing you do adjust as you go and get more information as the tournament progresses. 

If you have never played on Prize Picks or what more background, I highly suggest reading this article by FTN’s Tyler Loechner on how it works. It’s a great breakdown of the site works.

Open Championship Selections

There are plenty of options/categories currently being offered by PrizePicks, but I am going to focus in on the “Holes Played” category. This prop is essentially a prop on if a golfer will or will not make the cut. All of the golfers have an over/under set at 36.5 holes, and I think there are some solid value picks on the board this week. 

Holes Played Picks

• Gary Woodland OVER 36.5
• Webb Simpson OVER 36.5
• Abraham Ancer OVER 36.5
• Aaron Wise OVER 36.5

Let’s start with the main reason these for golfers made the list – in my simulations of the tournament, they all made the cut at rates that showed expected value compared to the line being offered by PrizePicks when paired together. 

They are all steady golfers, with deficiencies in one area or another, but nothing glaring that makes me overly concerned. Ancer’s short game, Webb’s lack of distance, Wise’s putter, Woodland’s short game; but nothing bad enough the rest of their talents can’t make up for and get them to the weekend. Weather could be an unknown concern – currently it looks docile but as we know on the Scottish coast that can change in an instant. I suggest spreading the picks out into multiple two-pick Power Plays to potentially reduce some variance and return more even if only hitting three of four, which works out better than the 4-pick flex play.