Longshot PGA Betting Picks for the 2022 RBC Canadian Open


One of the most fun aspects of betting on golf is the weekly opportunity to find edges all the way down the odds boards trying to pick winners.


Each week, I’m picking out some of my favorite longshot bets for that week’s event.

PGA Betting Picks at the RBC Canadian Open This Week

Below, we take a look at golfers who could pay off as our favorite longshot bets of the week.

Aaron Rai

(140/1, DraftKings Sportsbook)

I don’t think this is a large edge but if my guesses on how the course will play are correct, I think it sets up nicely for Rai. Not a prolific winner, but multiple time champion on the DP World Tour, he has been playing full time on the PGA this year with success. Sure, he hasn’t exactly flirted with victory, but he’s been steady with consistently solid finishes built up by his accuracy and iron play. Rai was often a target on tight tracks when playing on the DP World Tour and since I’m going with accuracy this week, adjustments were made, and Rai came into play. He’s not a great putter, but habitually has good outings on the greens and it’s his short game and lack of distance that hurts him the most. 

Matt Wallace

(400/1, DraftKings Sportsbook)

There aren’t often many great things to point at for golfers in this range, but I have Wallace lower and jumped at the number. Perhaps his career bests were years ago, and he’s a long way from that, but he had two solid events in Europe finishing 18th last week in Germany and fifth in the Netherlands. Sure, those fields are not PGA caliber but perhaps they are good for his mental strength and as bad as the rest of his game has been, his approach play has continued to shine. He’s been awful with the driver which will have to change to contend (or even make a cut) but as I mentioned his approach play has been good and we even saw an uptick in his short game (although noisy). At 400/1, we don’t have high expectations, but I can’t pass on a number that I disagree with, especially with a bit of form, however unlikely the outcome.

For all of my picks, including the DP World and LPGA Tours, check out the Bet Tracker. If you’re not a subscriber, use code AXIS for 20% off and I hope to speak with you soon in the FTN Discord

See below for my results in 2022, and check out the full history.

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