NBA Postseason Best Bets (5/17)
Alex Christenson
Najee HarrisRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Steelers vs. Titans
Right now, Najee Harris’s rushing yards prop is set at 45.5 yards (+100/-135).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 45.5 (-135) after it opened @ 48.5 (-120).
Pros
- The leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers offense to be the quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 26.02 seconds per snap.
- This week, Najee Harris is anticipated by the projection model to slot into the 82nd percentile among running backs with 14.0 carries.
- Najee Harris has been given 57.9% of his team’s rush attempts this year, placing him in the 89th percentile when it comes to RBs.
- When it comes to blocking for ball-carriers (and the importance it has on all ground game statistics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers ranks as the 10th-best in football last year.
- The Tennessee Titans defensive ends profile as the 5th-worst unit in football this year in regard to run defense.
Cons
- Najee Harris’s 41.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year signifies a noteworthy regression in his running talent over last year’s 59.0 mark.
- With an awful tally of 3.43 adjusted yards per carry (22nd percentile) this year, Najee Harris places among the weakest pure rushers in the NFL at the position.
Projection
THE BLITZ
57
Rushing Yards
57
Rushing Yards
