Week 9 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Kenneth Walker III from EV Insight

Kenneth Walker IIIRushing Yards

Right now, Kenneth Walker III’s rushing yards prop is set at 55.5 yards (-105/-125).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 55.5 (-125) after it opened @ 60.5 (-115).

Pros

In terms of a defense’s impact on pace, at 27.60 seconds per play, the model projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 10th-fastest in football (context-neutralized) right now.
The projections expect Kenneth Walker to total 13.5 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 80th percentile among running backs.
With an impressive total of 75.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (95th percentile), Kenneth Walker places among the leading RBs in football this year.

Cons

This week’s spread implies a throwing game script for the Seahawks, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to run on 37.0% of their downs: the 6th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects Kenneth Walker to be a less important option in his team’s run game in this week’s contest (57.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (71.1% in games he has played).
When talking about run-blocking (and the influence it has on all ground game stats), the offensive line of the Seattle Seahawks grades out as the 4th-worst in the league last year.
Opposing teams have run for the 8th-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 96.0 per game) vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
65
Rushing Yards