Week 9 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Keaontay Ingram from EV Insight

Keaontay IngramRushing Yards

Right now, Keaontay Ingram’s rushing yards prop is set at 42.5 yards (+100/-137).

The public has bet the OVER up to 42.5 (+100) after it opened @ 41.5 (-115).

Pros

The Arizona Cardinals feature a new play-caller this year in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 6.0% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
Our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 3rd-most run-focused offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 44.7% run rate.
In this contest, Keaontay Ingram is projected by the projections to place in the 90th percentile among running backs with 15.8 rush attempts.
The projections expect Keaontay Ingram to be a much bigger part of his team’s run game in this contest (58.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (17.1% in games he has played).

Cons

The Arizona Cardinals may lean on the pass less this week (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to start backup quarterback Clayton Tune.
The Cardinals are a big 13.5-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
With an atrocious total of 2.46 adjusted yards per carry (23rd percentile) this year, Keaontay Ingram rates among the bottom running backs in football at the position.
Opposing teams have run for the 6th-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 91.0 per game) versus the Browns defense this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
64
Rushing Yards