Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Cade Otton from EV Insight

Cade OttonReceiving Yards

Right now, Cade Otton’s receiving yards prop is set at 29.5 yards (+104/-142).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 29.5 (-142) after it opened @ 30.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 67.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 61.4 plays per game.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line ranks as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has not been good when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, giving up an average of 7.42 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-most in the NFL.

Cons

The Buccaneers are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 29.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
The Los Angeles Rams defense has conceded the 4th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 33.0) versus TEs this year.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has allowed the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (58.6%) to tight ends this year (58.6%).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has given their QB a measly 2.30 seconds before the pass (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Projection

THE BLITZ
30
Receiving Yards