Week 9 Player Props: Passing Yards for Andy Dalton from EV Insight

Andy DaltonPassing Yards

Right now, Andy Dalton’s passing yards prop is set at 230.5 yards (-113/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 230.5 (-115) after it opened @ 236.5 (-115).

Pros

The New Orleans Saints will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Andy Dalton in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
Andy Dalton has thrown for substantially more yards per game (224.0) this season than he did last season (183.0).
Opposing QBs have thrown for the most yards in the league (294.0 per game) vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 57.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to attempt 33.0 passes this week, on average: the least of all QBs.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties project as the 6th-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
253
Passing Yards