Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tyler Higbee from EV Insight

Tyler HigbeeReceiving Yards

Right now, Tyler Higbee’s receiving yards prop is set at 20.5 yards (-130/+100).

Pros

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Rams are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their standard game plan.
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 64.3% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week.
The Los Angeles Rams have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Tyler Higbee has gone out for fewer passes this year (85.4% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (69.7%).

Cons

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are forecasted by the predictive model to run only 63.3 offensive plays in this game: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.
Opposing teams have averaged 28.2 pass attempts per game against the Cowboys defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.
The Los Angeles O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
Tyler Higbee’s 31.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season illustrates a noteable decline in his receiving skills over last season’s 38.0 rate.
With a poor 65.0% Adjusted Catch Rate (23rd percentile) this year, Tyler Higbee places among the worst possession receivers in the league among TEs.

Projection

THE BLITZ
28
Receiving Yards