NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Trey McBrideReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Cardinals vs. Ravens
Right now, Trey McBride’s receiving yards prop is set at 29.5 yards (-120/-109).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 29.5 (-109) after it opened @ 31.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Cardinals may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Joshua Dobbs.
- At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are giant underdogs this week, suggesting much more of an emphasis on throwing than their standard game plan.
- The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals as the 10th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- The Ravens defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (40.4 per game) this year.
- Trey McBride’s pass-game efficiency has gotten a boost this year, accumulating 8.13 adjusted yards-per-target vs a measly 6.61 figure last year.
Cons
- The Arizona Cardinals feature a new play-caller this season in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 6.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
- As it relates to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Cardinals profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.
- This year, the stout Baltimore Ravens defense has given up the least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing tight ends: a feeble 4.7 yards.
- The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has been quite strong when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, giving up an average of 2.75 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in the league.
- The Baltimore Ravens safeties profile as the 2nd-best group of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
41
Receiving Yards
41
Receiving Yards
