Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Luke Musgrave from EV Insight

Luke MusgraveReceiving Yards

Right now, Luke Musgrave’s receiving yards prop is set at 26.5 yards (-104/-131).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 26.5 (-131) after it opened @ 27.5 (-131).

Pros

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
In this game, Luke Musgrave is projected by our trusted projection set to place in the 82nd percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.2 targets.
Luke Musgrave has been an integral part of his team’s passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 15.2% this year, which places him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to TEs.
Luke Musgrave has compiled a whopping 31.0 air yards per game this year: 84th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
Luke Musgrave comes in as one of the best tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging a remarkable 31.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 75th percentile.

Cons

The Packers have run the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 53.2 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Vikings defense this year: 9th-fewest in football.
This year, the daunting Minnesota Vikings defense has given up a measly 41.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing TEs: the 10th-best in the league.
The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has exhibited good efficiency against tight ends this year, yielding 5.63 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-fewest in the league.
The Minnesota Vikings safeties profile as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.

Projection

THE BLITZ
33
Receiving Yards