NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Luke MusgraveReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Packers vs. Vikings
Right now, Luke Musgrave’s receiving yards prop is set at 26.5 yards (-104/-131).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 26.5 (-131) after it opened @ 27.5 (-131).
Pros
- The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- In this game, Luke Musgrave is projected by our trusted projection set to place in the 82nd percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.2 targets.
- Luke Musgrave has been an integral part of his team’s passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 15.2% this year, which places him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to TEs.
- Luke Musgrave has compiled a whopping 31.0 air yards per game this year: 84th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
- Luke Musgrave comes in as one of the best tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging a remarkable 31.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 75th percentile.
Cons
- The Packers have run the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 53.2 plays per game.
- Opposing teams have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Vikings defense this year: 9th-fewest in football.
- This year, the daunting Minnesota Vikings defense has given up a measly 41.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing TEs: the 10th-best in the league.
- The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has exhibited good efficiency against tight ends this year, yielding 5.63 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-fewest in the league.
- The Minnesota Vikings safeties profile as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.
Projection
THE BLITZ
33
Receiving Yards
33
Receiving Yards
