Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Harrison Bryant from EV Insight

Harrison BryantReceiving Yards

Right now, Harrison Bryant’s receiving yards prop is set at 29.5 yards (-117/-117).

The public has bet the OVER up to 29.5 (-117) after it opened @ 28.5 (-120).

Pros

The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s game, indicating a passing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have called the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Harrison Bryant to total 5.3 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 86th percentile among tight ends.
THE BLITZ projects Harrison Bryant to be much more involved in his team’s passing offense this week (17.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (9.9% in games he has played).

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Harrison Bryant’s possession skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 77.5% to 67.6%.
Harrison Bryant’s pass-catching effectiveness has diminished this season, accumulating a mere 5.24 yards-per-target compared to a 8.54 mark last season.
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has given up the 9th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 45.0) to tight ends this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
36
Receiving Yards