Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Cooper Kupp from EV Insight

Cooper KuppReceiving Yards

Right now, Cooper Kupp’s receiving yards prop is set at 82.5 yards (-130/+100).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 82.5 (+100) after it opened @ 84.5 (-115).

Pros

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Rams are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their standard game plan.
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 64.3% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week.
The Los Angeles Rams have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
In this game, Cooper Kupp is forecasted by the projection model to rank in the 100th percentile among wideouts with 12.1 targets.

Cons

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are forecasted by the predictive model to run only 63.3 offensive plays in this game: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.
Opposing teams have averaged 28.2 pass attempts per game against the Cowboys defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.
The Los Angeles O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
Cooper Kupp’s possession skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 76.4% to 58.8%.
The Cowboys defense has allowed the 2nd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 120.0) versus wideouts this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
99
Receiving Yards