Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Chigoziem Okonkwo from EV Insight

Chigoziem OkonkwoReceiving Yards

Right now, Chigoziem Okonkwo’s receiving yards prop is set at 19.5 yards (-115/-113).

The public has bet the OVER up to 19.5 (-115) after it opened @ 18.5 (-110).

Pros

The model projects the Titans offensive scheme to skew 1.9% more towards the passing game than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
In this game, Chigoziem Okonkwo is expected by the projections to rank in the 75th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.0 targets.
Chigoziem Okonkwo’s 16.2% Target Share this season conveys a noteworthy boost in his passing game volume over last season’s 10.8% figure.
After accumulating 21.0 air yards per game last year, Chigoziem Okonkwo has seen a big uptick this year, currently averaging 29.0 per game.
The Falcons defense has given up the 7th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (56.0) to TEs this year.

Cons

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Titans to pass on 52.1% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are projected by our trusted projection set to call just 60.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-fewest among all teams this week.
The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Tennessee Titans this year (just 52.0 per game on average).
When it comes to pass protection (and the influence it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Tennessee Titans profiles as the 9th-worst in football this year.
Chigoziem Okonkwo’s 19.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season shows an impressive drop-off in his receiving skills over last season’s 27.0 mark.

Projection

THE BLITZ
26
Receiving Yards