NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Chigoziem OkonkwoReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Titans vs. Falcons
Right now, Chigoziem Okonkwo’s receiving yards prop is set at 19.5 yards (-115/-113).
The public has bet the OVER up to 19.5 (-115) after it opened @ 18.5 (-110).
Pros
- The model projects the Titans offensive scheme to skew 1.9% more towards the passing game than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
- In this game, Chigoziem Okonkwo is expected by the projections to rank in the 75th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.0 targets.
- Chigoziem Okonkwo’s 16.2% Target Share this season conveys a noteworthy boost in his passing game volume over last season’s 10.8% figure.
- After accumulating 21.0 air yards per game last year, Chigoziem Okonkwo has seen a big uptick this year, currently averaging 29.0 per game.
- The Falcons defense has given up the 7th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (56.0) to TEs this year.
Cons
- Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Titans to pass on 52.1% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
- Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are projected by our trusted projection set to call just 60.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-fewest among all teams this week.
- The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Tennessee Titans this year (just 52.0 per game on average).
- When it comes to pass protection (and the influence it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Tennessee Titans profiles as the 9th-worst in football this year.
- Chigoziem Okonkwo’s 19.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season shows an impressive drop-off in his receiving skills over last season’s 27.0 mark.
Projection
THE BLITZ
26
Receiving Yards
26
Receiving Yards
