Week 8 Player Props: Passing Yards for Zach Wilson

Zach WilsonPassing Yards

Right now, Zach Wilson’s passing yards prop is set at 200.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 200.5 (-110) after it opened @ 196.5 (-110).

Pros

The Jets may rely on the pass game less in this week’s game (and hand the ball off more) since they be forced to start backup quarterback Zach Wilson.
Zach Wilson’s throwing accuracy has gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 55.9% to 62.6%.
This year, the porous New York Giants defense has been gouged for the 7th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to the opposing side: a massive 8.15 yards.
This year, the feeble New York Giants defense has conceded the most yards-after-the-catch in football to the opposing side: a monstrous 6.76 YAC.
As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, New York’s group of CBs has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in football.

Cons

With a 3-point advantage, the Jets are favored in this week’s contest, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jets to pass on 56.1% of their downs: the 10th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Our trusted projections expect the Jets to run the 11th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.6 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The 3rd-fewest plays in football have been run by the New York Jets this year (a lowly 52.0 per game on average).
Opposing offenses have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game versus the Giants defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
193
Passing Yards