College Football Props of the Week: Week 4
Walter Waddell
Zach WilsonPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Giants vs. Jets
Right now, Zach Wilson’s passing yards prop is set at 200.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 200.5 (-110) after it opened @ 196.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Jets may rely on the pass game less in this week’s game (and hand the ball off more) since they be forced to start backup quarterback Zach Wilson.
- Zach Wilson’s throwing accuracy has gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 55.9% to 62.6%.
- This year, the porous New York Giants defense has been gouged for the 7th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to the opposing side: a massive 8.15 yards.
- This year, the feeble New York Giants defense has conceded the most yards-after-the-catch in football to the opposing side: a monstrous 6.76 YAC.
- As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, New York’s group of CBs has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in football.
Cons
- With a 3-point advantage, the Jets are favored in this week’s contest, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.
- Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jets to pass on 56.1% of their downs: the 10th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
- Our trusted projections expect the Jets to run the 11th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.6 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
- The 3rd-fewest plays in football have been run by the New York Jets this year (a lowly 52.0 per game on average).
- Opposing offenses have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game versus the Giants defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
193
Passing Yards
193
Passing Yards
