Week 8 Player Props: Passing Yards for Joshua Dobbs from EV Insight

Joshua DobbsPassing Yards

Right now, Joshua Dobbs’s passing yards prop is set at 200.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 200.5 (-115) after it opened @ 188.5 (-115).

Pros

The Cardinals may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Joshua Dobbs.
At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are giant underdogs this week, suggesting much more of an emphasis on throwing than their standard game plan.
The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals as the 10th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Right now, the 10th-quickest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Arizona Cardinals.
The Ravens defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (40.4 per game) this year.

Cons

The Arizona Cardinals feature a new play-caller this season in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 6.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
As it relates to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Cardinals profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.
Joshua Dobbs rates as one of the worst passers in the NFL this year, averaging 193.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 25th percentile.
Joshua Dobbs comes in as one of the least on-target passers in the league this year with a 61.7% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 19th percentile.
With a lackluster 5.90 adjusted yards-per-target (9th percentile) this year, Joshua Dobbs stands among the least effective quarterbacks in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
220
Passing Yards