NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Joshua DobbsPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Cardinals vs. Ravens
Right now, Joshua Dobbs’s passing yards prop is set at 200.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 200.5 (-115) after it opened @ 188.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Cardinals may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Joshua Dobbs.
- At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are giant underdogs this week, suggesting much more of an emphasis on throwing than their standard game plan.
- The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals as the 10th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- Right now, the 10th-quickest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Arizona Cardinals.
- The Ravens defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (40.4 per game) this year.
Cons
- The Arizona Cardinals feature a new play-caller this season in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 6.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
- As it relates to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Cardinals profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.
- Joshua Dobbs rates as one of the worst passers in the NFL this year, averaging 193.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 25th percentile.
- Joshua Dobbs comes in as one of the least on-target passers in the league this year with a 61.7% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 19th percentile.
- With a lackluster 5.90 adjusted yards-per-target (9th percentile) this year, Joshua Dobbs stands among the least effective quarterbacks in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
220
Passing Yards
220
Passing Yards
