Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Ezekiel ElliottRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Cowboys vs. Lions
Right now, Ezekiel Elliott’s rushing yards prop is set at 65.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 65.5 (-110) after it opened @ 63.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Cowboys are a big 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
- The Cowboys rank as the 3rd-most run-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 44.5% run rate.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Ezekiel Elliott has grinded out 62.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest marks in the NFL among running backs (82nd percentile).
- Opposing squads have rushed for the 2nd-most yards in football (170 per game) versus the Detroit Lions defense this year.
Cons
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Projection
THE BLITZ
67
Rushing Yards
67
Rushing Yards
