Week 7 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Ezekiel Elliott from EV Insight

Ezekiel ElliottRushing Yards

Right now, Ezekiel Elliott’s rushing yards prop is set at 65.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 65.5 (-110) after it opened @ 63.5 (-115).

Pros

The Cowboys are a big 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
The Cowboys rank as the 3rd-most run-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 44.5% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Ezekiel Elliott has grinded out 62.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest marks in the NFL among running backs (82nd percentile).
Opposing squads have rushed for the 2nd-most yards in football (170 per game) versus the Detroit Lions defense this year.

Cons

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Projection

THE BLITZ
67
Rushing Yards